1. Yeah he's all but mathematically locked. Only way he could miss is if Kurt came back and somehow gained 71 points on him AND we had two new winners. Cindric is set.

  2. With a road course and Daytona. Do not count him out. Mcdowell can win either one with how he’s been at Daytona in his career and his Road Course ability

  3. Sheldon Creed has gone from off the graphic most of the year to looking like he has a very realistic shot to catch Sieg and make it if he keeps running the way he has lately.

  4. Depending on who it is, if we get a new winner higherup in points than Kurt currently is, might several be mathematically eliminated before Daytona? Someone like Keselowski might be pinning their hopes on Daytona, but if if say Truex wins the Glen and Brad's not within 60 points of Kurt, it won't matter how he does at Daytona

  5. In my opinion, MTJ just missed his chance at the playoffs.... as good as he is on road courses typically, Toyota has just been so far off this year I don't trust he can pull it off at the Glen.

  6. I think this is a reasonable take. MTJ and Blaney have either been close (COTA/RA) or the Toyotas completely crapped the bed (a la Sonoma).

  7. Harvick went from being washed up/not making the playoffs, to all of a sudden 2 wins, having a good chunk of points and seems to pick up 3 more. Ross is falling down the board a bit

  8. It's the people that don't expect it that are surprised the most, Harvick has shown tons of speed all year, just Ford couldn't give him a car to go out and beat all the Chevy teams and some Toyotas, these wins were coming, just a matter of time before Ford actually gave him cars he could win with.

  9. Depending on who it is, if we get a new winner higherup in points than Kurt currently is, might several be mathematically eliminated before Daytona? Someone like Keselowski might be pinning their hopes on Daytona, but if if say Truex wins the Glen and Brad's not within 60 points of Kurt, it won't matter how he does at Daytona

  10. That's why Daytona is infinitely better if there is one spot left in the playoffs. You have blaney trying to hang on and everyone other than truex is going to go all in because if they win they're in.

  11. I believe that's correct. Anyone greater than 60 pts back of Kurt would be eliminated if there's a new winner, but that new winner has to be above him in the standings after the Glen.

  12. It would be a little funny if Truex and Blaney win the next two races, and Briscoe makes up 3 points to Almirola, so we end up with the top 16 in points getting in after all.

  13. I say it every week: the truck series scheduling sucks and kills any momentum. Four weeks between playoff races? Ridiculous.

  14. How the hell is Brandon not mathematically locked in yet? Even if 5 new teams win he'd be at worst 12th in the playoff standings.

  15. Truex’s best shot is The Glen where he has finished top 3 since 2017 and Blaney’s best shot is Daytona where he seemingly runs and finishes top 5 every race at the track.

  16. The Toyotas have been terrible on road courses this year. Yesterday on Sirius XM, Truex said his best bet beyond Richmond will be Daytona.

  17. Larson somehow creeping up through the standings despite a lack of strong performance in most regards is that sleeper story. Just goes to show how stage points can really prop up bad finishes.

  18. it's crazy he'd be below the cutline if Chase had won Auto Club. This has been a really wild season.

  19. On the Cup side, realistically everyone BUT Blaney and Kurt Busch are safe. Yes, I understand there are some mathematical scenarios that are still possible, but in the real world it's not going to happen.

  20. Blaney and truex chances are done. You can tell in their interviews they have zero confidence. Blaney even seems like he is getting a tad snippy.

  21. The playoffs are going to be absolutely insane. Anyone in top twelve in points could win it all this year. And I wouldn’t discount Reddick either.

  22. Remember before the season even started when Steve Letarte said he didn't believe Truex would make the playoffs this year? Man looks like a genius right about now

  23. Unfortunately quite unlikely given Blaney will be points racing at the Glen and then it’s Daytona. Be great to hang onto 3rd though

  24. Is Ryan Blaney missing a "tentatively locked" color next to his name?...I'm so conflicted on seeing the 45 make it into the playoffs when KB has been out for a while now

  25. It will be absolutely ridiculous and a real black mark on the sport if the guy in 4th doesn’t make the playoffs whilst the guy in 21st does

  26. Mark my words, this will be the season hamlin wins a championship, he is having a subpar season, with a couple of lucky wins, and this will bet the season he wins, as opposed to the last 2-3 seasons, where he has been a real forced to be record with, he has already turned it around from last in points in the playoffs, to a good few positions up

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